Yahoo Finance | 2026-04-22 | Quality Score: 92/100
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Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) is currently posting its longest share price winning streak since 2018, with an 11% rally over 10 consecutive positive trading sessions as of April 21, 2026. However, this near-term momentum has barely dented the stock’s brutal year-to-date selloff, which leaves it as the worst
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Published at 14:45 UTC on April 21, 2026, the latest market data confirms QCOM is on track to close higher for the 10th straight session, marking its longest run of consecutive gains in 8 years. The 11% rally over this period outpaces the broader semiconductor sector’s 7% gain in the same window, driven by mild technical buying after the stock hit a 3-year low earlier in April 2026. Despite this short-term rebound, QCOM remains down 20% year-to-date, trailing the SOX’s 18% YTD gain by 38 percent
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Key Highlights
Several core factors are driving QCOM’s underperformance relative to its semiconductor peers. First, explosive demand for DRAM from AI data center buildouts has pushed spot DRAM prices up nearly 500% since August 2025, creating severe supply constraints and component cost inflation for consumer electronics manufacturers, particularly Chinese handset makers that are key QCOM customers, who have cut production targets in response. Second, Apple’s planned phase-out of Qualcomm modem chips in its iP
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Expert Insights
Market strategists and portfolio managers highlight a notable disconnect between QCOM’s short-term technical rally and its weakening fundamental outlook. Kim Forrest, Chief Investment Officer at Bokeh Capital Partners, notes, “They were for a very long time a momentum stock. The death of that is really hard because you have to figure out what other kind of investor is going to be drawn to what the company has. It’s a long process, it’s an ugly process.” Historically, QCOM traded at a premium to the broader semiconductor sector supported by its near-monopoly position in smartphone baseband chips and investor optimism around its diversification into auto, PC, and data center chips. However, the failure of its edge AI revenue to scale at projected rates, combined with the loss of Apple as a high-margin customer, has led to a mass exodus of growth-oriented investors, creating a shareholder base vacuum that value investors have yet to fill given persistent near-term earnings risks. Ethan Feller, Stock Strategist at Zacks Investment Research, adds, “There’s no way around the fact that memory constraints are a real challenge in the near term, and because there’s so much unknown about the memory outlook, no one can say if the worst is over. The stock would probably look attractive if we knew when the memory picture was going to improve, but the growth picture for both this year and next year is just not very good, and that’s obviously not good for sentiment.” Structural supply imbalances in the DRAM market, as memory makers prioritize high-margin sales to AI data centers over lower-margin consumer electronics clients, are expected to persist for at least 6 to 9 months, meaning QCOM’s core smartphone segment (which makes up 60% of total revenue) will continue to face volume and margin pressure through the first half of 2027. Its newer diversified segments currently account for less than 25% of total revenue, insufficient to offset declines in its core business. For bullish investors, the stock’s deep valuation discount offers a margin of safety, with Steve Bruce, Chief Investment Officer at Bruce Wood Capital, noting, “The market has given Qualcomm some pretty substantial headwinds, but it has still executed well in a tough market, and it seems like these issues are by now so well known that they’re priced in. If we see memory prices come off more, that will give it more breathing room, and over the longer-term it looks attractive.” That said, the upcoming April 29 earnings report carries material downside risk: QCOM has only delivered positive post-earnings share price gains in 2 of the last 15 quarters, including an 8.5% drop following its weak fiscal first-quarter 2026 guidance in February. A sustained re-rating will require clear evidence of accelerating growth in non-smartphone segments and visible progress on easing memory supply constraints, without which the recent 10-day rally is likely a technical bounce within a longer-term downtrend. (Word count: 1172)
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